Posted on Feb 10 2018
ASX CODE: CYP
SHARE PRICE: 81c
SHARES ON ISSUE: 90.06m
MARKET CAP: $73m
CEO: Dr Ross Macdonald
BOARD: Dr Paul Wotton (chairman), Ross Macdonald, Dr Stewart Washer, Dr John Chiplin, Peter Webse
FINANCIALS (December quarter) revenue nil, cash generated $145,000, cash balance $8.839mm*, estimated December quarter cash burn $1.753m
*The company received a $1.329m R&D tax refund in December
IDENTIFIABLE MAJOR HOLDERS: Fujifilm 8.98%, Prof Igor Slukvin 3.39%, John W King Nominees 2.64%, Celtic Capital 2.39%
The stem cell play has just passed its first day of reckoning, with the first results from a phase-one trial of its treatment for Graft versus Host Disease (GvHD).
While there’s a long way to go, the results support Cynata’s core approach to the production of mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) will be validated. Investors certainly liked it, pushing the shares from 56c to 92c before this week’s overall market bondcano stole some of the gains.
Crucially, further positive trial results could prompt partner Fujifilm into an exercising an option over the technology, thus delivering a $US3m upfront payment and milestones worth up to $US60m and ongoing double-digit royalties.
The key point here is that Fujifilm would also cover the cost of developing the drug further.
Plan B –scrounging for another party – is not so palatable. “But we are not against the burden of coming up against this cold,” says ever-optimistic CEO Ross Macdonald.
“We know that MSCs work clinically.”
As an ASX entity, Cynata derived from Eco Quest, which sold green-friendly disposable nappies before getting into the poo. The nappies were then consigned to the smelly garbage bin and Eco Quest relisted as Cynata in October 2013.
The stem cell dilemma
Along with proving the efficacy of the technology to treat specific diseases, the big challenge with stem-cell therapeutics is procuring enough of the raw material in the first place.
In short, Cynata claims to be the only stem cell play in the world that can produce MSCs on a commercial scale without requiring multiple donors. “We have taken a product that is pretty darned good but said here’s a better way of manufacturing it,” Dr Macdonald says.
To date, the precursor material has been derived from embryos, or a process called bone marrow aspiration. Multiple donors are required and the coveted MSCs are only present in small amounts.
MSCs are adult stem cells which can be isolated from human and animal sources and can produce more than one kind of specialist cell.
An invasive surgical procedure, bone marrow aspiration sounds painful because it is painful. As for tapping embryos, the practice is controversial because some people see a fertilised embryo as a human in its own right.
Under pressure from the religious right, George W Bush outlawed harvesting spare embryos from IVF procedures, only for Barack Obama to rescind the measure. Trump, meanwhile, is yet to tweet his official stance.
“While many others strong disagree with that view, especially within the scientific community, the vociferous opposition from some quarters continues to hamper progress with embryonic stem cell research,” says Cynata co-founder Prof Igor Slukvin.
… and Cynata’s answer
Cynata hopes it has the solution with its patented Cymerus manufacturing process. The technology is based on induced pluripotent stem cells (IPSEs), from which MSCs are derived.
The ‘pluripotent’ bit means the IPSEs have the ability to develop into any type of adult cell. They can be derived from anywhere in the body – typically skin and blood – and grown in limitless quantities in the lab.
IPSEs derived from the work of Prof Slukvin, from the University of Wisconsin-Madison as well as Japanese research. UWM is a global leader in stem cell research, while Japanese researcher Shinya Yamanaka won a Nobel Prize in 2012 for his work in the area.
The MSC sector is certainly active, with 650 trials currently taking place including for cardio vascular, lung disease (such as asthma) and strokes.
Just to be clear though, Cynata doesn’t intend to be a mere factory that supplies the material to others: it aims to develop drugs, starting with its putative GvHD remedy CYP-001.
An immunological disease, GvHD afflicts bone-marrow recipients and is usually fatal in the case of candidates resistant to steroid treatment. It’s also a key target for Mesoblast, which is running a paediatric trial in the US.
One GvHD drug has already been brought to market: JCR Pharma’s Temcell. But Dr Macdonald says Fujifilm still believes a new drug would be worth $US300m in annual sales, which would deliver at least $US30m in annual royalties to Cynata.
Cynata’s less advanced therapeutic targets include heart attacks, acute respiratory disorder syndrome, glioblastoma and critical limb ischemia.
DSMB says CYP-001 for GvHD is AOK
On Jan 22 Cynata proclaimed that the independent Data Safety Monitoring Board had recommended that Cynata treat the second cohort of GvHD patients with CYP-001, after all eight patients in the first (lower dose) treatment group showed a partial response to the treatment.
This was measured by an improvement of at least one grade form the baseline on the GvHD scale. One patient subsequently died of pneumonia, but this was deemed not to be trial related.
A further eight patients will be treated with a higher dose across seven treatment sites here and in the UK, with results expected later this year.
The trial is significant because it is the first time globally any patient has been treated with an IPSC derived MSC product of any description, the patients’ own cells or otherwise.
“A successful outcome will support the application of CYP-001 in many medical and commercially significant targets where therapeutics MSCs have shown promising results,” Dr Macdonald says.
In both groups, the patients haven’t responded to traditional cortico steroid treatment and are most unwell.
Dr Boreham’s diagnosis
We’re loath to say something as hackneyed as the $73m market cap Cynata is the poor man’s version of the $600m market cap Mesoblast. But we’ll say it anyway.
Success is far from guaranteed. As the company acknowledges, there’s a lot of time and money going into IPSC research globally and scalable products have already been achieved (including blood, heart, vascular and connective tissue cells).
Cynata is confident that in the next decade several IPSC products will be approved for clinical use and become commercially available.
Like every self-respecting CEO, Dr Macdonald believes the stock is undervalued but at least he offers some solid evidence: in early January Japanese pharma giant Takeda bought Belgian stem-cell developer Tigenix for $US620m.
“This creates a fear of missing out among all other drug companies including Fujifilm,”
Fujifilm aside, Cynata’s register is oriented to retail investors, with the stock featuring regularly on the Hot Copper tattle site (much to Dr Macdonald’s chagrin). A notable holder is John King, founder of the Storage King empire and a keen investor in speccie techies.
The stock is not well covered. But US research house H.C Wainwright & Co (formerly Rodman & Renshaw) takes a stab at a $1.50 a share valuation, “based upon the valuation of the platform on collaboration based revenue only.”
With cash of $8.8m Cynata is self-sufficient until 2019, but every time Crucible says that about a biotech the company then passes around the hat for funds.
Disclosure: Dr Boreham is not a qualified medical practitioner and does not possess a doctorate of any sort – or a Nobel Prize as far as he knows.